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Peter Lynch theorizes that “insiders might sell their shares for many reasons, but they buy for only one: they think the price will rise.” If that’s the case, then adding to an already existing position of company stock, should be considered as a positive development.

SiriusAccording to a filing with Securities and Exchange Commission released on Monday, Mel Karmazin - Chief Executive Officer of Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI) has purchased 2,000,000 shares of the common stock on the open market, with an average price of $1.3732 per share. Karmazin now holds some 8.5 million shares of direct stock ownership.

Karmazin’s purchase seems to have improved somewhat investor confidence. Monday, in after-hours trading, shares of the satellite radio company gained more than 7%, rising to $1.49.

Sirius shares have experienced a meltdown and have dropped from above $60 in fiscal 2000 to the current $1.49.

Disclosure: None

Ron Haruni

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This article has 51 comments:

  •  
    Aug 05 07:09 AM
    If Mel's buying I'm buying....I don't care how cheap a stock is...You don't buy 2.0 million shares unless you expect the stock to rise. And for now chapter 11 is definetely out of the picture.....
  •  
    Aug 05 07:22 AM
    I JUST HAD A GOOD FEELING ABOUT THIS STOCK. I BELIEVE WE ARE GOING PLACES. BETTER GET WHILE THE GETTING IS GOOD. BUY, BUY, BUY OR KICK YOURSELF LATER. GREAT NEWS. EVEN VOV CAN'T GLOOM AND DOOM OVER THIS GLOWING INFORMATION. OH WAIT, I TAKE THAT BACK, START CRYING VOV, NOTHING BAD TO REPORT HERE. T.M.
  •  
    Aug 05 07:42 AM
    Guys it's the game. Just like wildcatting. If you want sanity enlist and go the Sandbox. I did and it's more logical than the market since you can understand the motives of the bad guys.

    Who drank my tea leaves?
  •  
    Aug 05 08:13 AM
    LOL... so Narrow minded!

    Not one person has made the connection yet between Mel's contract and these stock purchaces. Why?

    In Mel's contract he receives CASH in the ammount equivelent to the tax liability for any and all stock options he receives.... Wanna bet he just received 4-6 million shares of Stock?
  •  
    Aug 05 08:44 AM
    Yes, good news indeed. I 'expect' many more of the executives will follow Mel. This is stock is highly undervalued. The sell off is over and it is time to buy!
  •  
    Aug 05 08:55 AM
    Hey Satmoj you must be a real expert in Mel's business. It's a good thing for the rest of us fools that there are people like you I guess. No chance your shorting SIRI is there now. Just an fyi, regardless of if they give him 10million shares for the money he pays, the point is that they are now off the market and the sentiment is buy.
  •  
    Aug 05 09:02 AM
    Wow, this guy owns so much of the company, contrast what he's been doing to say the CEO of CHK who's bought over $200 million in shares in 2008 alone and now has ownership of more than 2% of the company. Get up to about 30 million shares Mel so it's more relative to someone who really does believe in their company and I'll start to believe.
  •  
    Aug 05 09:16 AM
    At least somebody believes in Sirius. Hopefully many more to come!!!
  •  
    Aug 05 09:46 AM
    he spent less $2.75mil. his bonus from SIRI last year was $3mil... this is nothing significant.. he was pulling $20mil a year in salary/bonus from Viacom every year before he went to SIRI... this is just some cheap "good press"... at $1.37 a share, a significant, "I believe in this company" buy would have been on the order of 10+mil shares... if he REALLY believes, much more....
  •  
    Aug 05 09:50 AM
    he might buy more in like 2 weeks to give it a bump again i hope so i would wreather have him buy 2 mill every 2 weeks the i 20 mill order
  •  
    Aug 05 09:52 AM
    Mel knows something.
    Financials go out officially on Thursday and he buys 2mill shares in Mondays after market??
    I'm getting in on this one - I'll cut my losses down to peanuts in 2 days.
  •  
    Aug 05 09:54 AM
    no??
  •  
    Aug 05 09:55 AM
    i just hope its not the captain going down with the ship
  •  
    Aug 05 10:45 AM
    Mel bought 1M shares at $6 a couple of years ago, so let's not get too excited. (BTW, I am a SIRI shareholder)
  •  
    Aug 05 10:46 AM
    Well you gotta admire a CEO that puts his money where his mouth is ........and any good general leads by example .........actions speak louder than words , and Mel just gave credence to any positives he may say thursday .......so I for one am feeling better right now , and if retail sales pick up any steam at all , that would be fantastic ......
  •  
    Aug 05 10:51 AM
    Mel Karmazin is not taking a risk by ponying up to buy shares. There's more at work here than the simple story that he's purchasing shares on the open market. All in the fine print. Read the proxy.
  •  
    Aug 05 11:08 AM
    I have said all along that Mel with a proven record as CEO will be successful in running Sirius/XM. Expect more good news from here on with a result in the increase of the price of the stock. In my opinion a substantial price increase. Those who held on will find the investment rewarding. I have held on to my 1000 shares for four years and did at the time buy the stock at $1.61 per share of Sirius.













  •  
    Aug 05 11:49 AM
    Vicar,
    He already bought the shares, what do you mean "ponying up"?
    What point are you trying to make?

    ....insiders buy for one reason.
  •  
    Aug 05 12:22 PM
    Vicar -- I did read the last proxy statement filed. This is what it said:

    "Stock Ownership and Holding Policy. We do not require specific ownership or holding requirements for named executive officers. "

    Was there a superceding statement made in some other filing? Here is the link to every proxy SIRI has filed:

    sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse...
  •  
    Aug 05 12:34 PM
    Vicar -- I would further note that Mel's bonus was paid in cash and received no stock awards in either 06 or 07 because the comp committee determined his interests were sufficiently aligned with shareholders (i.e., he has enough skin in the game). It seems you are suggesting that SIRI is backstopping him somehow? Please explain, and provide something more specific than 'read the proxy.'
  •  
    Aug 05 01:57 PM
    Why would he buy if things were not going to go up? He doesn't need people to be any more enraged. He would just let it drop and file chapter 11 after the earnings announcement, but to buy it before is a giveaway sign to buy! Pay attention especially those trying to exit today.
  •  
    Aug 05 02:01 PM
    Mel is showing a lot of confidence in SIRI XM! Sentiment for SIRI has been extremely low the past week and suddenly shot up this morning as people are becoming more bullish with this news. SIRI XM stock is so sensitive to media buzz (predictwallstreet.com/...). I'm still feeling uneasy about this stock, I think growth is going to be a long process that we won't see for awhile.
  •  
    Aug 05 02:11 PM
    well it will still be in the red today its only up 3 cents i hope i am wrong i have 4,000 sh
  •  
    Aug 05 03:03 PM
    I think siri will stay in the lackluster department until the EPS improves .....it will swing around a little here and there in the meantime , but now the only catalyst that really matters is earnings ......it's a good omen for Mel to row the boat with us ....but the bottom line is now ........the bottom line ............profit , or lack thereof .....the big boys are just sitting back waiting .....if EPS trends upwards ....they will pounce big .......I have checked out a lot of stocks on my watchlist , and siri is the only one I would call dirt cheap ........but I am already in substantially , so I am just holding now ........would love to have 20 grand to play with at this time !!!!!!!!!
  •  
    Aug 05 03:22 PM
    pssssst . . . hey friend . . . . yeah. yeah-you, that's right . . . come'ear . . . gotta hot stock tip for ya . . . get a little closer, I don't want anybody else to hear . . . ya ready . . . ok. right this down . . . it's called "Lucent Technologies"

  •  
    Aug 05 03:46 PM
    i use to own Lucent Technologies i got out when they merged lol that stock sucked from the get go it was a dieing industry satalite radio is not i see were you are going with 2 bad companies merging but its not the case here
  •  
    Aug 05 05:11 PM
    Source: Wikipedia

    Alcatel-Lucent is also the world leader in point-to-point microwave radios and wireless transmission; with over 50 years expertise and over 17% of the global market share in 2005. It has a field-proven experience in deploying and managing wireless transmission networks and 2G, 2.5G, and 3G mobile backhauling.

    Alcatel-Lucent has several notable non-network-based businesses. It has a Transport Solutions division that provides routing, control and network management for railway and mass transit operators, such as city undergrounds in Berlin, London and New York.


    Lucent buyout
    On April 2, 2006, Alcatel announced a merger with its U.S. competitor, Lucent. The combined company, Alcatel-Lucent, was expected to have revenues of approximately $25 billion U.S. based on 2005 calendar results.

    The acquisition was completed on December 1, 2006.

    On February 8, 2008, Alcatel-Lucent posted a $3.74 billion fourth-quarter loss and canceled its 2007 dividend, after taking a writedown of more than $3 billion on its U.S. wireless business. Analysts suggested that Alcatel shareholders had overpaid for Lucent.
  •  
    Aug 05 06:17 PM
    now that siri/xm is the only sat radio provider, how does this info from the oh-so-glorious wikipedia forsee future performance of a company? If this case were 100% applicable to all situations, then companies wouldn't merge. As well, take a gander at the time frame their numbers were posted, we sure were not having any forward movent in the overall economy during this time. Assuming history repeats itself, Siri/Xm has the potential to follow Clear channel until something bigger and better comes out. But asumption never made me money. do your research. df
  •  
    Aug 05 06:21 PM
    WELL, I GUESS I BETTER GET ME 2 MILLION.
  •  
    Aug 05 08:36 PM
    LOL you use Peter Lynch as a way to pump this crap stock?? First of all Peter Lynch was no greatinvestor despite the fact that Fidelity pumped millions into the media to promote that message. if you examine his record closely youll see that he made one huge risk and it paid off via gov assistance - Chrysler. Oh and did I mention he was a fund manager during the best bull market in US history? Hmmm..how would ole Peter be doing now?? Not so hot I'll gurantee you.

    Now, the fact is that Peter is WRONG. There are CEOs who buy stock just for PR...to make morons like you think he has a real reason to buy it. That way he cannot lose right? As well, when you are paying a CEO an INSANE amount of compensation, tossing a few million here and there is nothing. Those shares were indirectly goven to him by YOU GUYS -shareholders.

    Face it. This company is finished. It's just a matter of time. I knew a long time ago they wouldn't make it. Only the most brainless people bought this stock - typically the most desperate, uneducated, broke people looking to strike it rich...lol...good luck.
  •  
    Aug 05 08:53 PM
    I agree with Danno, all mergers aren't created equal, and this "quasi" monopoly does seemed destined for profitability. I can't tell you when to buy....but I can say with some confidence that Sirius-XM will make some money for those who can hold on.
  •  
    Aug 05 08:56 PM
    Forgot to add....I am a sirius stockholder, bought in at an average of $2.08 and going long.
  •  
    Aug 05 09:05 PM
    Well mr. real expert, that is a contradiction in terms. first of all i am not desperate or uneducated, 2nd of all you are a set up for the NAB. can spot you a mile off. Everyone has the right to express their opinion, so you did it.move on. since you never know the direction of a stock especially when you speakulate on one, that is the fun in it. then hopefully it will go up. from all indications i do believe that this stock in set to do just that. so, my demeaning friend, go and you and vov have a good time of throwing punches at each other. t.m.
  •  
    Aug 05 09:10 PM
    @The real expert

    Want to explain why NAB, et. al spent MILLLIONS trying to prevent this merger if the company was headed for the cliffs??? Either they are really stupid or they wanted to stop the merger of a future MONSTER company.
  •  
    Aug 05 09:24 PM
    blogtrog - that makes sense to me ...good point
  •  
    Aug 05 09:34 PM
    I had never thought of it quite that way blogtrog, but it does make perfect sense. Reminds me of the old joke about a politician spending millions of dollars for a $100,000 a year job. And the politicians in the pocket of NAB definitely weren't trying to put a stranglehold on a "dying" technology.
  •  
    Aug 05 10:54 PM
    The Real Expert - why must you insult us SIRI shareholders?
  •  
    Aug 06 08:46 AM
    I'm only in to SIRI for 800 @ 2.38--a microscopic position but enough to make me focus. Yahoo's source today reported the 1-yr target is 3.64. Qualified reporting analysts range the 1YT between 4.50 and 6.50, and one says, tongue-in-cheek, go long, set a stop at 20.00, set a related alert and don't worry. No one knows where the stock will be in 1 to 18 months. I believe satellite radio has a tremendous future. One big house either today or yesterday initiated coverage of SIRI at neutral--fair enough. Other houses range from sell to buy. This tells me that the big boys' flash lights shine no brighter than mine. I'm just a lowly retail investor and trader wannabe. I'm not looking at fundamentals (ratios continue to be virtually meaningless (a negative P/E? give me a break)) or technicals (other than 50- and 200-day SMA and patterns, because MACD, RSI and other lower indicators are not giving consistent signals). Instead I am following events--news--which seems to be what is and will continue to drive price until the baby monster gets its legs. Sensing what's coming, today I sold a fattened bond fund and lined up the proceeds for a relatively serious Sirius play. I think Mel's 2MS stock buy is not a marketing stunt. I will watch for more insider buying news among the Five Named Ones he just picked. Think they will follow their leader?

    Everyone following this stock knows about the subscriber base and its potential, the fact that sat radios can go into electric, biofuel, hybrid, fuel cell and good old gas guzzling vehicles (and aircraft, watercraft, and, who knows, probably even spacecraft within range of the Clark Belt or wherever Sirius-XM's bird based transponders are signalling), the killer programming lineup, the requirement to manufacture a new set of merged company hardware that supports announced offerings (technically, absolutely doable), a related star's potential future contract cost contraction to sub .5B dollars, lots of noise from nervous shorts (have the pros covered yet?), regular interest by the financial media (briefly, almost daily on CNBC), Wall Street's reported, understandable willingness to give the new company several quarters because of FCC foot dragging, speculation at all levels, steady buzz at blog level, the challenging CNBC remark to Mel (think he cares? only with every fiber of his being) about having a stock that trades at an embarrassing level (uh, and when did he sink 2M more into the stock?), and much more tells me to go long--long, baby! Sirius-XM is just waiting to catch air and ride a thermal up above the Bollinger Bands, beyond the 50-day SMA, through the 200-day average, and to the stratosphere. Now, short this naysayers.
  •  
    Aug 06 09:29 AM
    NAB would not spend milliions for no reason, they know something we don't. Think that might be enough reason to own more shares of siri/xm. NAB have research analyst on SADR potential growth and threat of other traditional radio service.
  •  
    Aug 06 12:04 PM
    Mr. Karmazin's total 2006 Sirius pay package exceeded $31 million. Given that, and his substnatial net worth, I would compare him buying 2 million Sirius shares to any of you buying 200 Sirius shares. It's enough to impress individual shareholders, but this is a drop in the bucket to Mr. Karmazin, and definitely not enough to impress institutional portfolio managers, who are still avoiding this stock. It's likely done for appearance reasons. But don't let that stop you. Go ahead. Dive in. If Mel's doing it, it must be okay, right?
  •  
    Aug 06 01:09 PM
    Vicar, your postings are nothing more than an extended drive-by.
    What is your mission here? You obviously don't like this company or the stock....we get it.
    My only guess is maybe you lost a lot of money buying this stock at the wrong time....sorry to hear that.
    But some are willing to take a risk for a great payday.
    Nothing is guaranteed with ANY stock so why whine and complain about this one??????

    This country was founded on risk-takers......not belly-achers!

  •  
    Aug 06 01:16 PM
    I honestly don't know why a CEO purchasing shares in his own company is a newsmaking event. Seems sort of nutty to me. But then I clicked on the arcticle, read it, and commented. I guess I am just as culpable as these so-called "blog-journalists... in this nonsense. Must be a slow day at the office. I don't think I'll make the same mistake again.
  •  
    Aug 06 01:57 PM
    I'm not slamming this stock. I'm only conveying the facts. Do you have misgivings about your position?
  •  
    Aug 06 02:09 PM
    satellite radio is a growing technology, it will never replace traditional AM/FM radio but the NAB is sure scared, they didn't spend millions to prevent the merger they spent tens of millions to prevent a merger that will fail? I think not, they know huge growth is coming to satellite radio, Sirius had less than one million subscribers in 2006 and now have over 18 million, name another subscription based company that has ever enlisted members at that rate, if you can I guarentee their stock has risen also. Read all the proxies and BS reports you want then just look around at the people listening to satellite radio everyday, 18 million people aren't paying 12.95 a month for a service they don't want or won't contiue to want in the future, siri will be up huge in future, buy it now, it won't get cheaper
  •  
    Aug 06 04:26 PM
    No position yet.
    As with all my purchases, just waiting for the bounce. Not trying to predict when or how.
  •  
    Aug 07 03:21 AM
    I will post this once again to show the facts and once again VicDave has no clue:

    163888
    Aug 06 12:23 PMThe Real Expert, You are the joke. I love when people like you come here you guys are my comic relief. You should try doing your own research. Tyler has stated many times, that they (he or Sirius Buzz) get nothing from satellite radio sector. He has also stated that he sold most of his shares like many of us that got in at the beginning, back in 2005. He has stated that, while he still has some it is not a a great deal or what he would call a life changing amount if it went up alot.

    Next as to what Mel has bought in SIRIXM and what kind of money he has made. This is why you have no glue what you are talking about.

    11/19/04 - 1,500,000 purchase @ $5.3589; cost $8,038,350
    01/12/06 - 1,000,000 purchase @ $6.2085; cost $6,208,500
    05/30/06 - 1,000,000 purchase @ $4.468; cost $4,468,000
    08/04/08 - 2,000,000 purchase @ $1.3732; cost $2,746,400
    Total purchases: 5,500,000 shares for $21,461,250; cost basis is $3.902


    Next, I want to point out his cash salary and bonuses...

    Mel Karmazin
    2004 Salary: $147,436 Bonus: $0.0
    2005 Salary: $1,250,000 Bonus: $2,200,000
    2006 Salary: $1,250,000 Bonus: $3,000,000
    2007 Salary: $1,250,000 Bonus: $4,000,000
    2008 Salary: $1,250,000 Bonus: $4,000,000 (projected)
    Total cash earnings: $18,347,436

    All the links to this and more are at Sirius Buzz. Options are meaningless at this point if you cant sell them for a profit. So having the right to purchace 31 million options at a higher price is not what I would consider a bonus. You VicDave are an outrage and a lier once again.

    Plus you moron, this shows that when compared to what he would have made at Viacom he lost almost 80 million in the same time frame. If he would have just stayed at Viacom.
  •  
    Aug 07 08:43 AM
    I am a consumer goods guy and my double digit returns which is documented at my free website explains that.However the CEO's purchase to me is not very significant in light of what he owns PLUS he needs to be positive. This merger was RUINED by the government which took to long to approve it IMO. Now if the CEO had ALL his net worth in this like Buffett has at Berkshire I would feel different.Personally i hope this stock does well but it is too "risky" for me persoanlly
  •  
    Aug 07 08:50 AM
    sir2u, Here is your answer:

    fjallfoss.fcc.gov/prod...

    It basically says this;

    Can you believe that the NAB is now saying to the FCC that satellite radio may push them out of the autos altogether. I thought they were just saying they did not compete with satellite radio. SIRI/XMSR, should start to repull old FCC filings where the NAB said they did not compete with satellite. While the NAB last filing maybe true, it shows the FCC that the NAB cant be believed about anything they say anymore. That they say whatever suits them at the time. I mean can they get it right, first it was, to investors they compete with us, then it was they dont compete with us, and now it is finally they may put us out of business. I hope SIRI/XMSR makes sure that they are exposed, while one would think that Tate is not that dumb, why take the chance.

    Not bad for a company that is suppose to be out of business soon. You people know who I am talking to.


  •  
    Aug 07 08:57 AM
    truthinvesting, Just one question you started Berkshire? I know thw answer, thats the problem with your reasoning. Mel came to SIRI and has put every cent plus more into it that he has made from it. You do not find that kind of confedence from other CEOs. Does Buffet still put every cent he has made from it back into it?
  •  
    Aug 08 04:35 PM
    this is to SIRIUS ROADKILL. can you please recite me the numbers for EBAY and PAYPAL so everyone here can see the differences or are you just one sided here trying to short some sirius. Oh yeah, you can't because this is the opposite extreme of what you are preaching and a positive merger position. Over the top positive. I don't think we will see numbers like EBAY and PAYPAL here soon but i dont think billions would have been spent on a merger when SIRIUS could have waited for XMSR to folly and picked up those customers for free. There is something positive that will happen here but it may not be overnight as expected but i think it will happen. buy more now and improve your position for the move back up. i have bought from 2.75 to 1.30 and have improved my position by over a dollar on over 15000 shares. but dont drop all the cookies in one jar. please diversify your portfolio. but what do i know.
  •  
    Aug 08 11:31 PM
    Go get 'em connorport. Double and average down for some sirius future upside. Today analysts including Citi's, as reported on CNBC, ranged the upside to between 3 to 4 by next year, and possibly to 6.5.... Yayaa, Baybee!!!

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